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August 24, 2019

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Very interesting post.

What would you say the long-term outlook for Argentina is if Macri (somehow) wins? And if he (very likely) loses?

I saw Bolsonaro's economy minister recently threaten to have Brazil quit Mercosur should the Fernandez and Cristina win, with Macron shortly after threatening to block the EU-Mercosur deal over the Amazonian fires. I imagine the blocking of the EU-Mercosur deal would keep things as they are in that aspect of trade, but what if Brazil does quit Mercosur and a trade war starts between Brazil and Argentina?

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