« I will still bet against Scottish secession | Main | More on why Scottish secession does not mean Tory dominance of the U.K. »

September 12, 2014

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The boundaries were not actually redrawn as planned - it was a casualty of infighting between the two coalition partners. Of course, this further increases the intrinsic pro-Labour bias.

I have tended to think that a Labour victory in 2015 is likely based simply on the auto-evisceration of the Lib Dems. We will see... I agree that Labour has to win in 2015 for the UK to stay in the EU. I wonder if this will result in the (significant) pro-Europe business lobby being more pro-Labour, or even more neutral, than normal in the next election.

I would think that the answer to the question in the last paragraph would be an unequivocal "yes." But I am not in Britain! So what am I missing?

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