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January 19, 2009


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Well, I'm really glad to read your prognosis. But I have a question for you--at present, the trend in Mexican public order and strength of the state vis-a-vis the cartels seems to be a downward one. Is there any sign of it hitting bottom?

Couldnt agree more, this is really a no-brainer. It's weird how this has been a serious problem for a few years now, but it's spilling over into the American media and in comments from the government all at once. I don't know what to make of the mad rush of attention.

I have one hypothesis, which is that the situation in Ciudad Juarez has deteriorated fast, and Juarez (along with Tijuana) plays an outside roll in American perceptions.

Sound plausible? I really don't know.

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