There is an interesting (if rarely updated) blog called “Demography Matters.” It's hit a few interesting topics lately. Randy McDonald is the driving force behind it. For those of you who don't know him, he wrote the defining takedown of the whole “Eurabia” nonsense, aka the idea that immigration and differential birthrates will eventually give Europe a Muslim majority. But the blog is a lot more than that.
Here is a discussion of Greenland. Short version: considering the country's dependence on Danish expats for skilled labor, even a non-independence independence of the sort negotiated by other microstates could lead to disaster. The population is shrinking despite high birthrates. Maybe they'll get lucky and find oil. More likely they will remain a dependency of Denmark forever, most likely de jure but definitely de facto.
The blog also recently discussed Iran. Short version: looks like Europe! Crashing birthrates could fuel an economic boom if only the place could get the policies right. In comments there is an interesting discussion of the fact that American birthrates have stayed above replacement ... and that much of that difference is because urban birthrates in the U.S. aren't appreciably different from their suburban or rural equivalents. The really weird fact? Canadian birthrates are crazy lower than U.S. ones, even in such similar places as Washington and British Columbia.
Finally, it presents a scary version of Cuba's future, in which the country enters a demographic death spiral. All it lacks is a projection of the worst case scenario: what would Cuba's population and age pyramid look like in 2050 if it goes the way of Ukraine and stays there?
Below the fold is a music video. It is for Randy, for reasons he understands. Essentially, while not my cup of tea, it shows what can be accomplished in his preferred genre in both aural and visual terms when attempted by two rather accomplished artists. Enjoy.
This post is from my good friend and colleague, Carlos Yu. He's a native Wisconsonian, an adopted Brooklynite, and completely brilliant. His occasional posts here (mostly lifted from another blog,
Recent Comments