The title of this short post was designed for Twitter.
Like many, I have been thinking a lot over the past five days. Unlike many, I have not been saying much. And now I realize why.
Basically, 2016 appears to have been a standard-issue close-run election. There is not much evidence of a “whitelash” in terms of either a surge in white turnout or a giant swing in white opinion. There is evidence of drops in nonwhite enthusiasm. In certain key places, this may be linked to voter supression (I’m looking at you, Milwaukee) but it mostly isn’t (I’m looking at you, Philadelphia). And that polling error? Well, it seems huge because the race was so close, but it really wasn’t that big.
This is why the election is so disturbing. You had one candidate blow through every single norm in American political life. You had one candidate show exceptional ignorance and demonstrate an exceptionally nasty character. And yet it ended up as a completely normal post-1994 election.
That is disturbing. We can only pray that it is not something that the country has cause to regret.